Wednesday, August 17, 2022

S-REIT with 100% exposure to China Market Part 3

Dasin Retail Tr (SGX: CEDU) EC World Reit (SGX: BWCU) Sasseur Reit (SGX: CRPU) CapLand China T (SGX: AU8U) BHG Retail REIT

Sasseur REIT is the first outlet mall REIT to be listed in SGX, with an Initial Portfolio comprising four retail outlet malls located in the China, offering investors the opportunity to invest in the country's fast-growing retail outlet mall sector.

When we buy REIT, many people only look at the Gearing Ratio and DPU (dividend). Many information provided to us during the REIT financial report but we overlook it. We trust the management will handle well the REIT, so that we can relax and collect our dividend yearly. They are the experts in the market. No! We need to check and assess them during their quarterly or semi-annually financial report. We need to check if the REIT is still healthy or debt ridden or badly manage or any other issue. Don’t forget it’s our hard earn money.

Below is the timeline how the Sasseur REIT management handle their debts and loan renewal.

Debt maturity profile (as at June 2019) (reported on Aug 2019) 2QFY2019
FY19 Summary
Weighted average debt maturity is 3.24 years with no major re financing until 2021
- $133 mil mature in 2021
- $351 mil mature in 2023
Gearing Ratio 29.7%

Debt maturity profile (as at Dec 2019) (reported on Feb 2020) FY2019
Weighted average debt maturity is 2.73 years with no major re financing until 2021
- $133 mil mature in 2021
- $345 mil mature in 2023
Gearing Ratio 27.8%
- ~SGD 367 million (RMB 1.90 billion) Onshore Facility ~4.75%
- SGD 125 million (~RMB 0.65 billion) Offshore Facility ~3.42%
- TOTAL ~SGD 492 million (~RMB 2.55 billion)

Debt maturity profile (as at Dec 2020) (reported on Feb 2021) FY2020
Weighted average debt maturity is 2.2 years
Completion of refinancing exercise in September 2020 ($133 mil mature in 2021?)
Reducing weighted average cost of debt from 4.41% to 3.20%

- ~SGD 271 million (RMB 1.34 billion) Onshore Facility maturity in March 2023
- SGD 221 million (~RMB 1.09 billion) Offshore Facility maturity in March 2023
- USD 20 million (~RMB 0.13 billion) Offshore Facility maturity in March 2023
- TOTAL ~SGD 508 million
Gearing Ratio 27.9%

Debt maturity profile (as at Dec 2021) (reported on Feb 2022) FY2021
*Actively exploring refinancing opportunities with a view to de-risk the current debt profile by staggering debt maturity and loan amount.
Weighted average debt maturity is 1.2 years
Reducing weighted average cost of debt from 4.41% to 3.20%

~SGD 278 million (RMB 1.31 billion) Onshore Facility maturity in March 2023
- SGD 214 million Offshore Facility maturity in March 2023
- ~SGD 27 million (USD 20 million) Offshore Facility maturity in March 2023
- TOTAL ~SGD 518.6 million
Gearing Ratio 26.1%

Weighted Average Lease Expiry in 2022 is 63.6% by Gross Revenue.
*Deliberate short lease to optimise tenant mix
Short lease strategy to adjust trade mix swiftly to adapt to fast-changing consumer preferences in China.
My thought: Will need to see how the management handle this, it’s considered high risk for high concentration of lease expiry.

Debt maturity profile (as at March 2022) (reported on May 2022) 1Q2022
* The Manager is in active discussion with various lenders to refinance the loan and de-risk the current debt profile by staggering its debt maturity and amount.
Weighted average debt maturity is 1 year

- ~SGD 276 million (RMB 1.30 billion) Onshore Facility maturity in March 2023
- SGD 214 million Offshore Facility maturity in March 2023
- ~SGD 27 million (USD 20 million) Offshore Facility maturity in March 2023
- TOTAL ~SGD 517.2 million
Gearing Ratio 26.2%

Weighted Average Lease Expiry in 2022 is 52.7% reduce from 63.6% by Gross Revenue.
* Deliberate short lease to optimise tenant mix
My thought: The management reduce the lease expiry by 10.9% of the Gross Revenue. I think this is good, at least it’s show that the management is working on the lease expiry issue.

Debt maturity profile (as at June 2022) (reported on Aug 2022) 1H2022
Weighted average debt maturity is 0.7 year
~SGD $ 269.1 million (RMB 1.30 billion) Onshore Facility maturity in March 2023
SGD 214 million Offshore Facility maturity in March 2023
~SGD 27.9 million (USD 20 million) Offshore Facility maturity in March 2023
TOTAL ~SGD 510.9 million

71.6% of Borrowings pegged to stable interest rate and hedged to fixed interest rate
Gearing Ratio 26.5%

*Refinancing on Track to Be Completed by End 2022
*A deal is in the works with a group of regional banks with presence in Singapore and Hong Kong/China;
• Banks are in their various stages of approval process
• Banks include existing as well as new lenders to the REIT and Sasseur Group


Weighted Average Lease Expiry in 2022
* Bulk of remaining leases by gross revenue expiring in 2022 already pre committed
92.6% of remaining leases (by gross revenue) expiring in 2022 have been pre committed.

Portfolio
1. Chongqing Liangjiang Outlet Mall (property since IPO in March 2018)
2. Hefei Outlet Mall (property since IPO in March 2018)
3. Kunming Outlet Mall (property since IPO in March 2018)
4. Bishan Outlet Mall (property since IPO in March 2018)
Breakdown of Portfolio Property Income since 2016 to 1H2022
Chongqing Liangjiang Outlet Mall 71.4% to 55.7% in 1H2022
Hefei Outlet Mall 11.5% to 19.0% in 1H2022
Bishan Outlet Mall 8.9% to 10.2% in 1H2022
Kunming Outlet Mall 8.2% to 15.1% in 1H2022
Occupancy Rate (before IPO launch to current)
1. Chongqing Liangjiang Outlet Mall 96% to 100% in 1H2022
2. Hefei Outlet Mall 93% to 96.5% in 1H2022
3. Kunming Outlet Mall 92% to 97.7% in 1H2022
4. Bishan Outlet Mall 86% to 89.3% in 1H2022

Sponsor Sasseur currently manages nine outlet malls and owns six of them, so we can probably expect a pipeline of future acquisitions for Sasseur REIT from the sponsor’s existing assets. (March 2018 record)

Summary: Since the start of IPO, almost every financial result will paint the prospect of acquisition of REIT sponsor pipeline properties but almost 4 years now there is still no sign of any acquisition, not even from other source.
Overall, the REIT is well managed by the management. NAV increase, DPU increase but unstable, properties income slightly diversifies by reducing the dependant of Chongqing Liangjiang Outlet Mall from 71.4% to 55.7%. Weighted Average Lease Expiry is well managed. Almost all the lease expiry in 2022 has been pre committed but still not reflected in the Weighted Average Lease Expiry. Will need to see the next financial result.
Weighted average debt maturity is not that well managed.
FY2019 (Dec 2019) $133 mil mature in 2021 and management said no major refinancing until 2021 but it was refinanced in September 2020. (strange but better early than late) And now this $133 mil together with the rest of the debts going to mature in March 2023 is having problem. Total amount of SGD 510.9 million loan is going to mature in 0.7 years or 7 months from now. The management said refinancing is on track to be completed by end of 2022 but the way the management stated don’t look promising. 
Banks are in their various stages of approval process (which stage?)
Banks include existing as well as new lenders to the REIT and Sasseur Group (mean no concrete plans lol
I will say this is a red flag, as a unitholder, we can’t wait for the last minute then the management start to do refinancing, the risk of higher interest rate and unsuccessful refinancing could result in capital depreciation when market react to the bad news and the stock price will fall. Example Dasin Retail Trust and EC World.

Please DYODD, this is for my own case study only. 

Thursday, June 23, 2022

S-REIT with 100% exposure to China Market Part 2

Dasin Retail Tr (SGX: CEDU) EC World Reit (SGX: BWCU) Sasseur Reit (SGX: CRPU) CapLand China T (SGX: AU8U) BHG Retail REIT

EC World REIT

When we buy REIT, many people only look at the Gearing Ratio and DPU (dividend). Many information provided to us during the REIT earning report and annual report but we overlook it. We trust the management will handle well the REIT, so that we can relax and collect our dividend yearly. They are the experts in the property market. No! We need to check and assess them during their quarterly or semi- annually earning report. We need to check if the REIT is still healthy or debt ridden or badly manage or any other issue. Don’t forget it’s our hard earn money. 

EC World REIT is the first Chinese specialised logistics and e-commerce logistics real estate investment trust to be listed on the SGX. IPO with 6 properties in 2016. Brought Wuhan Meiluote in December 2018 and Fuzhou E-Commerce in August 2019.

Below is the timeline how the EC World REIT management handle their debts and loan renewal. 

The Facilities were used to refinance all of EC World REIT’s existing onshore and offshore term loans due in 2019, and partially fund the acquisitions of Fuzhou E-Commerce (please refer to the announcement released by EC World REIT dated 10 May 2019) and to finance EC World REIT’s working capital and other general corporate purposes as stated in the announcement titled “Drawdown on loan facilities” which was released on 29 July 2019 and the announcement titled “Further Drawdown On Loan Facilities And Completion Of Acquisitions Of Fuzhou eCommerce” which was released on 8 August 2019. (1st red flag)

Debt maturity profile (as at Dec 2019) (reported on 27 Feb 2020)  FY19 Summary

4QFY19 and FY19 blended running interest rate of 4.4% and 4.5% respectively (Including amortized upfront fee, the all-in interest rate for 4QFY19 and FY19 is 5.2% and 5.4% respectively) (Very high interest rate) Successfully refinance IPO loans in July 2019 extending Weighted Average Debt Expiry to 2.6 years.

  • RMB975 million onshore
  • S$300 million and US$86.8 million offshore
  • S$62.7 million RCF (revolving credit facility)
Debt maturity profile (as at 31 March 2020) (reported on May 2020)
Healthy Weighted Average Debt Expiry to 2.37 years
100% of offshore facilities has been swapped into fixed rate
The blended all-in interest rate for the quarter ended 31 March 2020 was 6.3%. The blended running interest rate for the quarter ended 31 March 2020 was 5.8%. 
  • RMB1,095.0 million onshore
  • S$300.0 million and US$86.8 (S$123.6 million)
  • S$79.3 million RCF (revolving credit facility)
Debt maturity profile (as at 30 June 2020) (reported on Aug 2020) 2QFY2020
Healthy Weighted Average Debt Expiry to 2.37 years (should be lesser)
  • RMB1,095.0 million onshore
  • S$300.0 million and US$86.8 (S$123.6 million)
  • S$79.3 million RCF (revolving credit facility)
Debt maturity profile (as at 30 September 2020) (reported on Nov 2020) 3QFY2020
3QFY2020 and YTD3QFY2020 blended running interest rate of 4.2% and 4.3% respectively
Weighted Average Debt Expiry of 1.9 years
  • RMB1,095.0 million onshore
  • S$305.6 million and US$86.8 (S$118.8 million)
  • S$120 million RCF (revolving credit facility)
Fine print: Using acquisition price of RMB145 million, NPI yield will be 1.7%. Wuhan Meiluote had an occupancy rate of 35.0% as at 30 Sep 2020. The Manager has since backfilled the space to 81.1% as at 30 October 2020. 

Back tracking Wuhan Meiluote occupancy rate record: 

 

Wuhan Meiluote Occupancy rate

Portfolio Occupancy rate

Portfolio Occupancy rate should be

FY2019

   99.4%

   99.97%

   99.925%  (-0.045%)

1QFY2020

   93.3%

   99.1%

   98.6%  (-0.5%)

2QFY2020

   85.0%

   98.7%

   97.56%  (-1.15%)

3QFY2020

   35.0%

   96.7%

  91.875%  (4.825%)

Fine print: Portfolio occupancy of 96.7% as at 30 September 2020.  Including the new lease at Wuhan Meiluote, portfolio occupancy would be 99.0% (3QFY2020)                                                      

[Fine print: In October 2020, the Manager announced that it has successfully leased 22,545 sqm of space at Wuhan Meiluote. Including these leases, occupancy at Wuhan Meiluote would be 81.1%]       

FY2020

   86.5% (error)

   99.3%

   98.31%  (-0.99%)

1QFY2021

   81.3%

   99.1%

   97.66%  (-1.44%)

2QFY2021

   81.3%

   99.1%

   97.66%  (-1.44%)

3QFY2021

   79.4%

   99%

   97.425%  (-1.575%)

FY2021

   84.7%

   99.2%

   98.08%  (-1.12%)

1QFY2022

   78.8%

   98.6%

   96.657%  (-1.943%)

 

 

Chongxian Port Logistics 97.8%

Summary: End of back tracking Wuhan Meiluote occupancy rate, found that management seem prefer to announce higher occupancy rate than exact figure (报大数). In case any one may think that I have calculation problem, kindly check the report yourself. (2nd red flag)                                            


Debt maturity profile (as at 31 Dec 2020) (reported on Feb 2021) FY2020
Stable running interest rate: 4QFY2020 and FY2020 blended running interest rate of 4.2% and 4.3% respectively.
Weighted Average Debt Maturity of 1.6 years
  • Onshore: RMB1,018.0 and RMB77.0 million
  • Offshore: S$305.6 million and US$86.8 (S$114.8 million)
  • S$85.7 million RCF (revolving credit facility)
Debt maturity profile (as at 31 March 2021) (reported on May 2021) 1QFY2021
1QFY2021 running interest rate of 4.1%
Weighted Average Debt Maturity of 1.4 years (1.4 years is an error) 
  • Onshore: RMB1,018.0 and RMB77.0 million
  • Offshore: S$305.6 million and US$86.8 (S$114.8 million)
  • S$101.7 million RCF (revolving credit facility)
Debt maturity profile (as at 30 June 2021) (reported on Aug 2021) 2QFY2021
1HFY2021 and 2QFY2021 running interest rate of 4.2%
Weighted Average Debt Maturity of 1.13 years
  • Onshore: RMB1,018.0 and RMB77.0 million
  • Offshore: S$305.6 million and US$86.8 (S$116.7 million)
  • S$95.9 million RCF (revolving credit facility)
Debt maturity profile (as at 30 September 2021) (reported on Nov 2021) 3QFY2021
3QYTDFY2021 and 3QFY2021 running interest rate of 4.1% and 4.0% respectively
Weighted Average Debt Maturity of 0.88 years
  • Onshore: RMB1,018.0 and RMB77.0 million
  • Offshore: S$305.6 million and US$86.8 (S$118.1 million)
  • S$107.9 million RCF (revolving credit facility)
Debt maturity profile (as at 31 Dec 2021) (reported on Feb 2022) FY2021
FY2021 and 4QFY2021 running interest rate of 4.1%
Weighted Average Debt Maturity of 0.63 years. Have commenced refinancing plans
  • Onshore: RMB1,018.0 and RMB77.0 million
  • Offshore: S$305.6 million and US$86.8 (S$118.1 million)
  • S$111.9 million RCF (revolving credit facility)
FY2020 Presentation Slides 3 pages missing! Summary Asset Performance is missing!
(3rd red flag)    (The management really bo chap)

Debt maturity profile (as at 31 March 2022) (reported on May 2022) 1QFY2022
1. As at 31 March 2022, ECW REIT has an aggregated facilities of S$706.5m outstanding. Save for a RMB 77.0 million onshore facility which will due in 2029, the rest of the Facilities are due in 2022.

2. New regulations introduced in August 2020 aimed to de-risking the residential sector resulted in tightening of credit to property developers.

3. While ECW is not in the residential property sector, the Manager noted that lenders have become much more cautious in giving out property related loans, resulting in additional challenges to the REIT’s refinancing.

4. At this juncture, the Manager expects that the refinancing exercise will be completed prior to the maturity dates of the term loans.

  • Onshore:
  • Offshore:
  • RCF (revolving credit facility):

All these figures are missing! (4th red flag) (Again the management hide all the debts detail, just blame China new regulation which introduced in Aug 2020. Why the management didn't think of refinancing earlier!)

Compulsory Expropriation of Fu Zhuo Industrial

Ceased income contribution from 1 April 2022

PRC authorities to provide a Compensation Package of RMB108.5 million to be paid in 3 tranches to ECW. Compensation is 92.8% of latest valuation and 26.8% higher than purchase consideration at IPO. 


General Announcement: Responses to Substantive and Relevant Questions 21 April 2022

Qn: Please advise on the cause of the delay in refinancing the term loans due in 2022.
Reply: The Manager has been engaging its lenders proactively on a regular basis. On 17 May 2021, the Manager announced that it has been approached by Forchn International Pte. Ltd. In relation to a potential transaction involving ECW’s interests in all of its properties, which may or may not lead to the divestment of these properties. On 28 December 2021, the Manager was informed that the buyers have decided not to proceed with the Potential Transaction. During the period of evaluation of the Potential Transaction, the Manager continued to engage with its lenders regarding refinancing. However, the lenders were not prepared to make a decision pending the outcome of the Potential Transaction. ECW was only notified of the outcome of the Potential Transaction in December 2021. (This is basically playing taichi)

Auditor's Comments of Accounts on 5 April 2022

EC World REIT manager wishes to update that the refinancing exercise in respect of all of EC World REIT’s onshore and offshore term loans due in 2022 is in the final stages of negotiation. The Manager is confident that the refinancing exercise will be completed prior to the maturity dates of the term loans.


Extension of Loan Facilities 1 June 2022
The Offshore Borrowers have entered into an amendment and restatement agreement
(the “Offshore Amendment and Restatement Agreement”) relating to the Original
Facility Agreement to, inter alia, extend the maturity date of the Offshore Facilities to
the earlier of (i) the earliest maturity date of the Onshore Facilities and (ii) 30 April 2023; 
The Onshore Facilities are due in July 2022 (save for a RMB 63,749,144 portion of the
Onshore Facility which will expire in July 2029). The Onshore Borrowers are in
discussions with the relevant lenders of the Onshore Facilities to extend the maturity
date of the Onshore Facilities to 30 April 2023.  (Very confusing)

In connection with the Offshore Facilities, Forchn Holdings Group Co., Ltd., the sponsor of EC World REIT (the “Sponsor”) is required to provide an undertaking that it will:
(a) procure that the exercise of refinancing of the Offshore Facilities is commenced
immediately; and
(b) by 31 December 2022, ensure that at least 25 per cent. of the aggregate principal
amount of the outstanding Offshore Facilities are repaid whether by acquisition of
asset(s) of EC World REIT and/or its subsidiaries or otherwise.

EC World REIT on 13 June 2022 entered into a non-binding memorandum of understanding (the “MOU”) with Forchn International Pte. Ltd. (“FIPL”) to explore the
potential divestment (the “Potential Divestment”) of Beigang Logistics Stage 1 and Chongxian Port Logistics. (5th red flag)

Portfolio FY2020
1. Chongxian Port Investment (Port logistics) (property since IPO in 2016)
2. Chongxian Port Logistics (Port logistics) (property since IPO in 2016)
3. Fu Zhuo Industrial (Port logistics) (property since IPO in 2016)
4. Hengde Logistics (Specialised logistics) (property since IPO in 2016)
5. Stage 1 Properties of Bei Gang Logistics (E-com logistics) (property since IPO in 2016)
6. Fu Heng Warehouse (E-commerce logistics) (property since IPO in 2016)
7. Wuhan Meiluote (brought in April 2018)
8. Fuzhou E-Commerce (brought in August 2019)

Base on FY2020 Summary Assets Performance 
Beigang Logistics Stage 1 23% of the portfolio gross revenue and 21.13% of NPI.
Chongxian Port Logistics 10.48% of the portfolio gross revenue and 9.67% of NPI.
Divestment of Beigang Logistics Stage 1 and Chongxian Port Logistics, EC World REIT Gross Revenue will decrease 33.48% and NPI will decrease 30.8%. Total portfolio of 8 properties will become 5 properties (exclude Fu Zhuo Industrial).

Summary: Firstly, the management only manage to refinance loans due in 2019 (since IPO), using the acquisitions of Fuzhou E-Commerce. The management has 2.6 years before the next refinance, yet they wait till the very last day then extend on 1 June 2022.
Secondly, the debts maturity chart is never in their earning result reports or annual reports. Unitholders never know what the management announce is correct or wrong. Management only announce how many years left and worst there are error lol. Thirdly, their occupancy rate is full of errors, Weighted Average Debt Maturity spotted error, Summary Assets Performance also spotted error (FY2020 Fu Zhuo gross revenue and NPI is the same amount). I really don’t know how to trust their figure given to the Unitholders. I didn’t check the gross revenue, NPI and DPU figure, so do check yourself if you interested to find out more. 
Lastly, if the REIT will to divest Beigang Logistics Stage 1 and Chongxian Port Logistics just to pay off outstanding loan, EC World REIT will lose one third of their revenue. Dasin Retail Trust is the good example for EC World REIT unitholders, both have the same debts and refinancing issue. 

Interesting note; 
Dec 2019 cessation of CFO Tng Chin Hwee, appoint Wang Feng as Acting CFO in Jan 2020. After that a series of SGX queries on money issue. Appoint of Wang Feng as CFO in Sep 2020 and SGX queries become a yearly thing. Don’t forget Li Jinbo was under investigation with CAD and MAS in June 2020, he cessed his appointment in July 2020. Li Jinbo was the Chief Investment Officer. 

Please DYODD, this is for my own case study only. 






S-REIT with 100% exposure to China Market Part 1

$Dasin Retail Tr(CEDU.SI) $EC World Reit(BWCU.SI) $Sasseur Reit(CRPU.SI) $CapLand China T(AU8U.SI) $BHG Retail Reit(BMGU.SI)

Dasin Retail Trust

When we buy REIT, many people only look at the Gearing Ratio and DPU (dividend). Many information provided to us during the REIT earning report and annual report but we overlook it. We trust the management will handle well the REIT, so that we can relax and collect our dividend yearly. They are the experts in the property market. No! We need to check and assess them during their quarterly or semi- annually earning report. We need to check if the REIT is still healthy or debt ridden or badly manage or any other issue. Don’t forget it’s our hard earn money.

Below is the timeline how the Dasin Retail Trust management handle their debts and loan renewal.

IPO with 5 properties in 2017. Brought 2 shopping malls in July 2020.

Debt maturity profile (as at 31 March 2020) (reported on May 2020)

No major refinancing requirements until January 2021
The Trustee-Manager is in active negotiations with banks to renew the debts due in 2021.
S$1.1 mil (0.15% of the portfolio) – expire on 2020
S$511.5 mil (70.08% of the portfolio) – expire on 2021 (this is the early warning)
S$109.8 mil (15.05% of the portfolio) – expire on 2022

Debt maturity profile (as at 30 June 2020) (reported on Aug 2020)

No major refinancing requirements until January 2021
The Trustee-Manager is in active negotiations with banks to renew the debts due in 2021
S$506.5 mil (71.56% of the portfolio) – expire on 2021
S$108.8 mil (15.37% of the portfolio) – expire on 2022

COMPLETION OF ACQUISITION OF SHUNDE METRO MALL AND TANBEI METRO MALL (reported on 8 July 2020)

The total cost of the Acquisition is approximately S$344.1 million, comprising (a) the purchase consideration, representing cash outlay, payable under the Sale and Purchase Agreement for the Singapore Holdco of approximately S$65.1 million, (b) the repayment of existing indebtedness of approximately S$259.0 million, (c) the acquisition fee payable to the Trustee-Manager for the Acquisition of approximately S$2.4 million, and (d) the professional and other fees and expenses incurred or to be incurred by Dasin Retail Trust in connection with the Acquisition of approximately S$17.6 million. (Make use of acquisition to repay large amount of debts, 2nd warning)

Debt maturity profile (as at 31 Dec. 2020) (reported on Feb 2021)

The Trustee-Manager is in active negotiations with the banks to successfully complete the extension of the loan relating to the initial portfolio and Shiqi Metro Mall due on 18 July 2021. (Since March 2020, the management fail to negotiations with banks to renew the debts, only able to extend the loan)

S$499.6 mil (52.66% of the portfolio) – expire on 2021
S$238.9 mil (25.18% of the portfolio) – expire on 2022

Debt maturity profile (as at 30 June 2021) (reported on Aug 2021)

The Trustee-Manager is in active negotiations with the banks to secure the refinancing of both the offshore facilities and the onshore facilities due on 19 December, as well as to jointly coordinate the refinancing of the offshore facilities with that of the Doumen facilities.

S$501.9 mil (53.38% of the portfolio) – expire on 2021
S$240.6 mil (25.5% of the portfolio) – expire on 2022

Further extended by approximately 5 months from 18 July 2021 to 19 December 2021.

Another further extended by 3 months from 20 December 2021 to 20 March 2022.

(This is 3rd warning)

Debt maturity profile (as at 31 Dec. 2021) (reported on Feb 2022)

The Trustee-Manager is in active negotiations with the banks to secure the refinancing of both the offshore facilities and the onshore facilities due on 20 March 2022

S$742.2 mil (77.35% of the portfolio) – expire on 2022

Another further extended: The lenders of both the Onshore and Offshore Facilities have granted an extension of 3 months from 19 March 2022 to 19 June 2022

An extension of three months from 19 March 2022 to allow the Trust to explore the proposal in the non-binding memorandum of understanding with Wuhu Yuanche Bisheng Investment Center on the potential divestment of Shiqi Metro Mall and Xiaolan Metro Mall (the “Proposed Divestment”). (top 2 revenue malls) (reported on April 2022)

Portfolio FY2021 base of revenue

Shiqi Metro Mall 20.7% (property since IPO in 2017)
Xiaolan Metro Mall 21.2% (property since IPO in 2017)
Ocean Metro Mall 14.3% (property since IPO in 2017 )
Dasin E-Colour 2.8% (property since IPO in 2017)
Doumen Metro Mall 19.6% (property since IPO in 2017)
Shunde Metro Mall 19.5%
Tanbei Metro Mall 1.9%

Auditor's Comments of Accounts on April 2022

Going concern basis of preparation of financial statements (Use of estimates and judgements)

MINUTES OF THE 5th ANNUAL GENERAL MEETING held on 26 APRIL 2022

Qn: Is there a need to divest two properties to the buyout funds? With SHIQI Mall being valued at RMB 2.8B (SGD 596m), taking a haircut of 20% which will amount to RMB 2.24B (SGD 476m), is this still not enough with the remaining outstanding to be satisfied by rights/forgo of dividends/existing cash?

Reply: The MOU was entered into with the aim of providing for the long-term interests of Unitholders and an action for the sustainability of the Trust. (same as no reply)

In addition, the offshore syndicated term loan facility of up to the equivalent of $132.9 million relating to acquisition of Shunde Metro Mall and Tanbei Metro Mall is due on 15 July 2022, and the offshore syndicated term loan facility relating to acquisition of Doumen Metro Mall of up to equivalent of S$105.7 million is due on 19 September 2022. The Trustee-Manager will be working closely with the banks to secure the refinancing of these facilities.

Summary: If Dasin Retail Trust management will to divest Shiqi Metro Mall and Xiaolan Metro Mall, this trust is as good as gone case liao. There are few warning signals since the earnings report release on May 2020. High debts maturity concentration while the management not able to negotiation for refinancing or a new loan. The management only able to extend when the loans are due.

Pls DYODD


Tuesday, July 20, 2021

Group 1 REITs Performance

 Group 1 REITs

ParkwayLife Reit (C2PU), very strong and stable REITs, the leader of this group. If you brought before March 2020 and still holding it, congratulations to you. The recovering from the crash is very strong and keep creating new ATH.

Pre-covid price is around $3.59 and now the price is $4.79. If you didn't panic sell and still holding, that's a 33.4% unrealise gain. If you are damn lucky to brought at the bottom of the crash, $2.56 at the support level and you still holding now, woah that's 87.1%. It's almost one in a live time thing to meet the crash, to have the money, the knowledge of what to buy and when to buy to pick this opportunities.

Back to present, Parkway REITs is doing very well in the group 1 and still leading the pack strongly. Many people will have this question, can I still buy it now? I will say wait for the correction and buy near the 200SMA. It has been on the uptrend and moving above 200SMA. If you look back, it's has a big correction on Oct 2020, a small one on March 2021. This is for long term investment and please do your own research before buying, I maybe wrong.


Ascendas REITs (A17U), stable REITs. Still recovering from the crash and correction. 

Pre-covid price around $3.30 and now is $3.04. If you didn't sell and still holding it, you are in the red -7.8%. If you are very lucky to pick this counter during crash, around the support level of $2.48, you are making a 22.5% unrealise gain.

Ascendas REITs recover from the crash strongly with a sharp V shape, but fall into a big correction and still struggling to recover. Hopefully, it can stay above 200SMA and test the $3.12 resistance level. Is it a good buy now? I will say any price below $3.00 is a good buy. It's has been trying to stay above $3.00 but fall back a few times. This is for long term investment and please do your own research before buying, I maybe wrong.


Mapletree Ind REITs (ME8U), very strong and stable REITs with more data centre on the way. Finally back to pre-covid price.

Similar to Ascendas REITs chart, MINT recover from the crash strongly with a sharp V shape, but fall into a big correction and slowly recover to pre-covid price. Pre-covid price around $2.87 and now is the same price. If you didn't sell and still holding it, you are breakeven. If you are very lucky to pick this counter during crash, around the support level of $2.02, you are making a 42% unrealise gain woah.

I initially thought that it will rebound at the $2.85 range after correction but it continue to fall another 12%. I brought at around $2.85 thinking I'm buying at a good price, nvm this is for long term investment. Is this still a good price to buy? I will say yes, MINT is acquiring DC centre very aggressively, DPU is slowly increasing and still payout quarterly. This is for long term investment and please do your own research before buying, I maybe wrong and I'm vested.


Keppel DC REITs (AJBU), a 100% data centre REITs. It's a stable REITs.

Pre-covid price around $2.50 and now is $2.60. If you didn't sell and still holding it, you are in the green with just 4%. If you are very lucky to pick this counter during crash, around the support level of $1.77, you are making a 46.8% unrealise gain woah.

Similar to Ascendas REITs and Mapletree Ind REITs chart, KDC recover from the crash strongly with a sharp V shape and continue to create ATH at $3.14 but didn't stay long and fall into a big 22% correction. Currently, just breakout from the down trend but heavy selling on Monday push down the price. Will continue to stay around current price range unless a true breakout to form a reversal. 

Is this still a good price to buy? I will say wait for it to breakout. Price may continue to fall lower if not enough buyers to support it. Please DYODD.

Overall, owning REITs in this group is still strong and stable. They are able to sustain even a big crash like March 2020. Stable REITs is good for passive income, you don't have to worry if there is another crash. My portfolio is small so it's not easy to own group 1 REITs so I pick the best MINT but miss the top of the REITs, heart pain haha. I have been lazy to do write blog, will try to update more blogs in the future, thanks for the support.







Thursday, January 7, 2021

My Portfolio End of 2020


Stock

Holding

Unrealised P/L

Period of investment

SATS Ltd. (S58)

6,000                                                       

32%

Long term

SIA Engineering (SIAE)

6,000                                          

11%

Long term

Mapletree Commercial Trust (N2IU)

5,000

13%

Long term

CapitaLand Retail China Trust (AU8U)

15,000              

14%

Long term

Frasers L&C Trust (BUOU)

5,000                                     

13%

Long term

Mapletree Industrial Trust (ME8U)

7,500

1%

Long term

 

 

 

 

IFAST (AIY)

3,500

7%

Short term

SPH (T39)

4,600

3%

Short term

Sembcorp Marine (S51)

38,000

-9%

Short term

 

 

 

 



This month;
Sold
Frencken sold 5,400 @$1.16 16.5% profit
Frencken sold 1,200 @$1.16 22% profit
UMS sold 16,300 @$1.04 5% profit

Buy
Sembcorp Marine 24,000 @$0.166
Sembcorp Marine 14,000 @$0.143 (avg $0.158)
Mapletree Industrial Trust 3,500 @$2.91
Mapletree Industrial Trust 2,000 @$2.87
Mapletree Industrial Trust 2,000 @$2.77 (avg $2.862)
IFAST 3,500 @$2.80
CapitaLand Retail China Trust (PO) 1,000 @$1.17
SPH 4,600 @$1.09

My planning
I find that tech stocks have reach the high so I sold off every tech stocks. (at the time of writing, tech stocks have reach the higher height, I have no regret, just keep to my plan.) 
I brought MINT at 3 tranche, 1st and 2nd tranche I buy high, affected by emotion. My target entry as in last post is $2.85. Now MINT is my 2nd biggest holding in my portfolio.
When there is a gap down, the price will try to recover back, this is true if you check other charts. I saw Ifast gap down, I tell myself this is the opportunity to own Ifast. When I saw the price have stop dropping and is going up, I quickly buy at $2.80. At the time of writing, it hit $3.31. My TP is $3.90.
I spotted both SPH and SM volume is coming up, funds are flowing in, I brought them for short term. Earlier brought SM at $0.166, price only up a little then drop back, I thinking of cutting lose -$250 but decided to hold. I saw the opportunity on 28th Dec, so I brought another 14,000 shares at $0.143. At the time of writing, it hit $0.162, I'm breakeven with small profit. Will be selling tomorrow as Friday, many contra players will sell to clear contra. May or may not hold about 10,000 shares for higher TP.

Future planning
Lendlease is going to breakout, I buy back at $0.74.
MNACT will pull back and get ready to test $1.00 again. If breakout, the future is very bright. 
Singtel, same as Ifast, Singtel gap up and recover down. Today Singtel price has reach the end of down trend, a reversal is coming. I'm not buying just sharing.


Pls DYODD, do your research before buying or selling. This is not a buying or selling advise. 
Too late to wish you guys Happy New Year, Happy Bullish Year 2021!

S-REIT with 100% exposure to China Market Part 3

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